PREDICTIONS NFL 

 TEAMS  ODDS  DEF.  OFF.  SP.TEAM  COMMENT  PR  AR
 JAGUARS  4-1  A  A  A    97  92
 COWBOYS  6-1  B+  A  C    95  91
 PANTHERS  7-1  A  A  A    95  91
 COLTS  5-1  B  A  B    90  89
 CHARGERS  5-1  B-  A+  B    90  89
 BEARS  9-1  B+  C  B    88  87
 PACKERS  7-1  B+  B+  B    90  87
 VIKING  10-1  B  B+  B    90  83
 BRONCOS  12-1  B  B  C    83  82
 PATROITS  8-1  B  A  B    88  82
 RAVENS  15-1  A  C  B    88  81
 49ERS  25-1  B  C  C    80  80
 JETS  16-1  B  C  C    80  80
 SAINTS  22-1  B  B  C    80  80
 TITANS  28-1  B  B  C    80  80
 RAMS  35-1  C  B  C-    77  77
 BENGALS  38-1  C  B  C-    77  77
 BROWNS  38-1  C+  B  C+    83  80
 BILLS  40-1  C+  C+  C+    83  77
 EAGLES  30-1  B  C+  C+    83  80
 CARDINALS  35-1  C  B  C-    78  77
 SEAHAWKS  27-1  C+  C+  C-    78  77
 REDSKINS  20-1  B  B  B    79  77
 STEELERS  17-1  B  B  C    79  77
 CHIEFS  35-1  C  C  C-    72  75
 GIANTS  10-1  B  C+  C    90  88
 RAIDERS  35-1  B  C  C+    80  77
 BUCCANEERS  15-1  B  C+  C+    80  77
 DOLPHINS  40-1  C-  C  D    70  71
 TEXAS  45-1  B  C  C    70  71
FALCONS 50-1 C- C- D 70 70
LIONS 50-1 C C D 70 70
               

                             

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                       MAKING YOUR NFL LINE
 LET IT BE SAID THAT EVERY FOOTBALL FAN,BETTOR WETHER HE KNOWS IT OR NOT,MAKES HIS OWN LINE. HE MAY NOT GO THROUGH THE ELABORATE MATHEMATICAL CALCULATIONS NESSCESSARY TO MAKE A GOOD LINE NOR GO TO THE TROUBLE OF WRITING DOWN AND REFINING HIS NUMBER....
  THE FIRST STEP IN ESTABLISHING AN ACCURATE NFL POINTSPREAD IS TO ESTABLISHMENT OF A SYSTEM OF WORKABLE POWER RATING FOR ALL THE NFL TEAMS.  POWER RATING ARE A MATHEMATICAL TOOL FOR GIVING A NUMERICAL RATING TO EACH TEAM'S STRENGTH WHETHER IT BE PLAYING AT HOME OR ON THE ROAD.. THEN, BY COMPARING OPPENENT'S NUMERICAL RATING AN APPROXIMATE POINT SPREAD FOR AN UPCOMING MATCH-UP CAN BE DERIVED.

 ONCE YOU HAVE YOUR PRE-SEASON POWER RATING FORMULATED....WHAT YOU WANT TO DO IS ACQUIRE SOME POWER RATING FROM OTHER, RESPECTED HANDICAPPERS AND FORMULATE A CONSENSUS LINE.. THE BEST WAY TO DO THIS IS TO GET A COPY OF FOUR-SIX PUBLICATIONS WITHH POWER RATING IN THEM AND THEN AVERAGE ALL THOSE RATING TO ARRIVE AT A CONSENSUS.....AS STATED, POWER RATING ARE A TOOL THAT CAN BE USED TO AT THE VERY LEAST GIVE THE PLAYER A FEEL FOR THE RELATIVE STRENGTTHS OF EACH TEAM AND WHAT A LINE SHOULD BE WHEN TWO TEAMS PLAY EACH OTHER.......POWER RATING NEED TO BE ADJUSTED AS THE SEASON MOVES ALONG TO ACCOUNT FOR EACH TEAMS RESULTS, LEVER OF PERFORMANCE,INJURIES, AND STRENGTH OF SEHEDULE

 


 NOTE: You want to avoid wagering on lines such as (+3.5)(+4.5)(7.5)(10.5)...Stay clear of these opening line unless you have solid info for fading them which does happen,but not often. These are call nfl key numbers.

                           2008-09  NFL ( ATS)-(STR)-(UP)-(O/U)

 

 
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Home Team Standings Matchups Power Rankings Past Games Super Bowls
Spread Trends
 See trends for NFL teams
  • ATS Record vs. Division
  • ATS Record vs. Conference
  • ATS Record vs. Inter-Conference
  • ATS Record After a MNF Game
  • ATS Record After a Bye Week
  • ATS Record After a Big Win/Loss
  • Home vs. Away ATS Record
  • Favorite/Underdog ATS Record
  • Grass vs. Artificial Turf
  • Over Under Record
  • Over Under vs. Division
  • Over Under vs. Yearly Teams

If you are a pro football bettor looking for an edge then you have come to the right place. Spread Trends contains valuable NFL handicapping information that will help you treat your bookie like a dog and make him go fetch your money. We have compiled game results for each of the 32 NFL teams over the past several seasons to expose their tendency toward covering or failing to cover in key situations. All of the data presented here is kept up to date so you will always know where a NFL team stands where it matters the most- against the spread (ATS). Below are some NFL trends that go back to the 2003-2004 season:
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 NFL Trends since 2003
  • The Raiders are a miserable 20-42-2 ATS (including 0-5 on Monday Night)
  • Oakland is also a painful 1-11 ATS at home vs. their division
  • The Seahawks and Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS on the road vs. the AFC
  • The Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS at home vs. the NFC
  • The Packers are a dreadful 1-6 ATS as a home dog
  • The Panthers have covered at a respectable 23-12-1 rate ATS
  • Carolina should be avoided on Monday Night where they are only 1-3
  • The Panthers and Saints are an imposing 10-2 ATS on the road against their division
  • The Broncos are 1-7 ATS at home vs. the NFC
  • The Rams are just 3-10 ATS on the road vs. the NFC
  • Beware the Dolphins as a home favorite where they are a terrible 4-17 ATS
  • Miami is a better bet vs. the NFC where they are 7-1 ATS
  • The Patriots and Steelers are 9-3 ATS as a visitor against their division opponents
  • The Jaguars are a hard biting home dog with a 9-4-1 ATS record
  • The Redskins are 10-3 ATS on the road vs. the NFC
Definitive Analysis

You don't want to bet on a NFL team that has been dominated by their opponent ATS do you? I can just hear your bookie laughing on the other end of the phone. For example, the Super Bowl champion Colts play in a division with lousy teams so you would think they beat up on them 6 times a year. But the Colts were a pathetic 2-4 ATS in 2006 division play! In fact the Texans have a 5-2 ATS record against the Colts since 2003. The Matchups page shows past head-to-head meetings of teams that are playing against each other this week. Use this valuable information to bury your sportsbook every week. Here are some more NFL 3head-to-head examples (since 2003):
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Updated Weekly
 Head-to-Head NFL trends since 2003
  • The 49ers dominate the Rams with a 5-1-1 ATS record
  • Look out for the Eagles who own the Giants with a 6-2 ATS and SU record
  • The Patriots kill the Jets with 6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU records
  • Look for the Jets when they play Miami where they command a 7-1 ATS record
  • Denver is an impressive 7-1 SU against Oakland but it drops to 5-3 record with chalk
  • The Steelers own the Browns with 6-1-1 ATS and 7-1 SU records
  • There is a 6-2 over tendency when the Colts and Texans meet
  • There is a 6-2 under tendency in Falcons/Panthers and Patriots/Bills matchups

Forget individual team statistics because they are irrelevant. You already know who the better team is but what you may not know is the point spread given to you by your sportsbook doesn't represent who they think the better team is. It represents what they think will attract an equal amount of betting on each side of the point spread. In their ideal world half of their gamblers will bet one way, the other half will bet the other way, and they collect all of the vigs. In their ideal world you win sometimes, they win every time. You could have exposed the point spread last season by picking up on some of these 2006-2007 NFL trends:
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 Trends from the 2006-2007 season
  • The Titans went over the total in 11 out of 16 games
  • The Raiders did well in division play posting a 4-2 ATS record
  • The Dolphins, Lions, Seahawks, and Cowboys were 1-5 ATS in division play
  • The Giants had trouble playing the AFC producing a poor 0-4 ATS record
  • The Giants killed their division posting an amazing 6-1 ATS record
  • The Titans and 49ers owned their divisions in 2006 posting a 5-1 ATS record
  • The Redskins and Lions were tough home dogs, each with a 4-1 ATS record
  • The Broncos collapsed going 0-6 in division play, 1-7 at home, and 5-11 overall
  • The Bears went over the total in 13 of 19 games (including post season play)
Essential Information

The handicapping reports presented on this site will get you ready for the current NFL football season. Whether you bet with an online sportsbook, a local bookmaker, or you participate in a weekly pool with your friends, you can use the valuable NFL point spread information presented on this site to make better NFL football picks and increase your winnings. Be sure to check in every week so you can make the best picks possible. Also of interest is our Power Rankings page. Normal power rankings can be found anywhere but are typically based on a teams straight up record. Our rankings show you how a team stacks up against the point spread, a useful tool. So explore and enjoy!
 
 
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